RF · NYY
Aaron Judge — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Aaron Judge (NYY) has averaged 0.73 runs per game across 59 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 56% of games. We project 0.77, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Aaron Judge went over in 33 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.77 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.27.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 33/59 | 56% |
| 1.5 | 10/59 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Judge finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Aaron Judge’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.