EdgeTake

RF · NYY

Aaron Judge — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Total Bases
114
Per Game
1.93
Projection
1.98
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 59 games this season, Aaron Judge (NYY) is averaging 1.93 total bases per game, while recent form sits lower at 1.2 over the last 10. 46% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 1.98, ahead of the 1.64 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 +108 at DraftKings — model 50% to hit, +3.2% EV.

Over 1.5 -130 BetMGMUnder 1.5 +108 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Aaron Judge went over in 27 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 1.98 vs market line 1.64 — edge +0.34.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.539/5966%
1.527/5946%
2.519/5932%
3.516/5927%

Share of 2026 games Judge finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.93

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
2.31
Away (33)
1.64
Home edge
+0.67

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs SF0Under
2026-03-27vs SF4Over
2026-03-28vs SF4Over
2026-03-31vs SEA1Under
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-03vs MIA5Over
2026-04-04vs MIA2Over
2026-04-05vs MIA3Over
2026-04-07vs ATH0Under
2026-04-08vs ATH1Under
2026-04-09vs ATH0Under
2026-04-10vs TB1Under
2026-04-11vs TB0Under
2026-04-12vs TB4Over
2026-04-13vs LAA8Over
2026-04-14vs LAA2Over
2026-04-15vs LAA4Over
2026-04-16vs LAA4Over
2026-04-17vs KC2Over
2026-04-18vs KC0Under
2026-04-19vs KC4Over
2026-04-21vs BOS1Under
2026-04-22vs BOS1Under
2026-04-23vs BOS1Under
2026-04-25vs HOU0Under
2026-04-25vs HOU0Under
2026-04-26vs HOU4Over
2026-04-28vs TEX8Over
2026-04-29vs TEX5Over
2026-04-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-01vs BAL2Over
2026-05-02vs BAL0Under
2026-05-03vs BAL5Over
2026-05-04vs BAL5Over
2026-05-05vs TEX2Over
2026-05-06vs TEX4Over
2026-05-07vs TEX1Under
2026-05-08vs MIL1Under
2026-05-09vs MIL0Under
2026-05-10vs MIL4Over
2026-05-11vs BAL2Over
2026-05-12vs BAL2Over
2026-05-13vs BAL0Under
2026-05-15vs NYM1Under
2026-05-16vs NYM3Over
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-18vs TOR1Under
2026-05-19vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-21vs TOR0Under
2026-05-22vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs TB5Over
2026-05-25vs KC2Over
2026-05-26vs KC3Over
2026-05-27vs KC0Under
2026-05-30vs ATH1Under
2026-05-31vs ATH0Under
2026-05-31vs ATH1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Aaron Judge’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.