EdgeTake

2B · LAA

Adam Frazier — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
34
Runs
14
Per Game
0.41
Projection
0.49
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Adam Frazier (LAA) has averaged 0.41 runs per game across 34 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 29% of games this season. Our model projects 0.49, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +175 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -212 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Adam Frazier went over in 10 of 34 2026 games.

Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/3429%
1.54/3412%

Share of 2026 games Frazier finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.41

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.25
Away (18)
0.56
Home edge
-0.31

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-29vs HOU1Over
2026-04-05vs SEA1Over
2026-04-07vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-10vs CIN2Over
2026-04-11vs CIN0Under
2026-04-13vs NYY2Over
2026-04-14vs NYY0Under
2026-04-15vs NYY1Over
2026-04-16vs NYY1Over
2026-04-18vs SD2Over
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-21vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-24vs KC0Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-26vs KC2Over
2026-04-27vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-02vs NYM0Under
2026-05-05vs CWS0Under
2026-05-08vs TOR0Under
2026-05-09vs TOR0Under
2026-05-13vs CLE0Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-19vs ATH0Under
2026-05-22vs ATH0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-28vs DET0Under
2026-05-30vs TB1Over
2026-06-02vs COL1Over
2026-06-03vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adam Frazier’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.