C · BAL
Adley Rutschman — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Adley Rutschman (BAL) has averaged 0.49 runs per game across 43 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.5 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 40% of those games. We project 0.39, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Adley Rutschman went over in 17 of 43 2026 games.
Our projection 0.39 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.11.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 17/43 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 4/43 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Rutschman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adley Rutschman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.