C · BAL
Adley Rutschman — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 43 games this season, Adley Rutschman (BAL) is averaging 1.7 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 1. The over on 1.5 has hit in 40% of games. Our model projects 1.24, below the market line of 1.36.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -176 at Caesars — model 64% to hit, +0.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Adley Rutschman went over in 17 of 43 2026 games.
Our projection 1.24 vs market line 1.36 — edge -0.12.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 25/43 | 58% |
| 1.5 | 17/43 | 40% |
| 2.5 | 11/43 | 26% |
| 3.5 | 9/43 | 21% |
Share of 2026 games Rutschman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 9 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adley Rutschman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.