DH · AZ
Adrian Del Castillo — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Adrian Del Castillo (AZ) has averaged 0.61 hits per game across 38 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.6. They've gone over 0.5 in 50% of those games. We project 0.59, short of the 0.64 market line.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -120 at Fanatics — model 53% to hit, -2.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Adrian Del Castillo went over in 19 of 38 2026 games.
Our projection 0.59 vs market line 0.64 — edge -0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/38 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 3/38 | 8% |
| 2.5 | 1/38 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Castillo finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adrian Del Castillo’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.