EdgeTake

DH · AZ

Adrian Del Castillo — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Total Bases
39
Per Game
1.03
Projection
1.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Adrian Del Castillo (AZ) sits at 1.03 total bases per game through 38 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.9. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 50% of games this season. Our projection of 1.08 sits above the market line of 0.99.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 52% to hit, -1.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Adrian Del Castillo went over in 19 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 1.08 vs market line 0.99 — edge +0.09.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/3850%
1.510/3826%
2.56/3816%
3.54/3811%

Share of 2026 games Castillo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.03

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.65
Away (21)
1.33
Home edge
-0.69

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM1Over
2026-04-09vs NYM2Over
2026-04-11vs PHI3Over
2026-04-12vs PHI1Over
2026-04-13vs BAL1Over
2026-04-15vs BAL4Over
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR3Over
2026-04-22vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS2Over
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD0Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL4Over
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC1Over
2026-05-03vs CHC4Over
2026-05-06vs PIT1Over
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT1Over
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM2Over
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-17vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs SF2Over
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-22vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-25vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF4Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA1Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adrian Del Castillo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.