EdgeTake

1B · STL

Alec Burleson — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Hits
64
Per Game
1.10
Projection
0.99
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Alec Burleson (STL) has averaged 1.1 hits per game across 58 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 1. 69% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.99, a step above the market line of 0.72.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -220 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Alec Burleson went over in 40 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.99 vs market line 0.72 — edge +0.27.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.540/5869%
1.520/5834%
2.54/587%

Share of 2026 games Burleson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.10

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
1.03
Away (27)
1.19
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TB3Over
2026-03-28vs TB1Over
2026-03-29vs TB0Under
2026-03-30vs NYM2Over
2026-03-31vs NYM0Under
2026-04-01vs NYM0Under
2026-04-03vs DET1Over
2026-04-04vs DET1Over
2026-04-05vs DET0Under
2026-04-06vs WSH0Under
2026-04-07vs WSH1Over
2026-04-08vs WSH3Over
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-12vs BOS2Over
2026-04-13vs CLE2Over
2026-04-14vs CLE1Over
2026-04-15vs CLE2Over
2026-04-18vs HOU2Over
2026-04-18vs HOU2Over
2026-04-19vs HOU0Under
2026-04-20vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs MIA2Over
2026-04-25vs SEA0Under
2026-04-25vs SEA0Under
2026-04-26vs SEA0Under
2026-04-27vs PIT2Over
2026-04-28vs PIT2Over
2026-04-29vs PIT1Over
2026-04-30vs PIT3Over
2026-05-02vs LAD1Over
2026-05-02vs LAD1Over
2026-05-03vs LAD1Over
2026-05-04vs MIL0Under
2026-05-06vs MIL1Over
2026-05-08vs SD1Over
2026-05-09vs SD2Over
2026-05-09vs SD0Under
2026-05-10vs SD1Over
2026-05-13vs ATH1Over
2026-05-14vs ATH3Over
2026-05-14vs ATH0Under
2026-05-16vs KC2Over
2026-05-16vs KC1Over
2026-05-17vs KC1Over
2026-05-19vs PIT2Over
2026-05-20vs PIT1Over
2026-05-21vs PIT2Over
2026-05-22vs CIN2Over
2026-05-23vs CIN1Over
2026-05-25vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs MIL1Over
2026-05-27vs MIL0Under
2026-05-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-30vs CHC2Over
2026-05-31vs CHC1Over
2026-06-01vs TEX1Over
2026-06-02vs TEX2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alec Burleson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.