EdgeTake

1B · STL

Alec Burleson — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Total Bases
99
Per Game
1.71
Projection
1.49
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Alec Burleson (STL) is averaging 1.71 total bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 1.2. 45% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 1.49 lands right around the market line of 1.49.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -182 at Caesars — model 62% to hit, -4.6% EV.

Over 1.5 +138 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -182 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Alec Burleson went over in 26 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 1.49 vs market line 1.49 — edge 0.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.540/5869%
1.526/5845%
2.518/5831%
3.59/5816%

Share of 2026 games Burleson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.71

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
1.58
Away (27)
1.85
Home edge
-0.27

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs TB6Over
2026-03-28vs TB1Under
2026-03-29vs TB0Under
2026-03-30vs NYM3Over
2026-03-31vs NYM0Under
2026-04-01vs NYM0Under
2026-04-03vs DET1Under
2026-04-04vs DET2Over
2026-04-05vs DET0Under
2026-04-06vs WSH0Under
2026-04-07vs WSH1Under
2026-04-08vs WSH3Over
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-12vs BOS5Over
2026-04-13vs CLE3Over
2026-04-14vs CLE1Under
2026-04-15vs CLE2Over
2026-04-18vs HOU3Over
2026-04-18vs HOU6Over
2026-04-19vs HOU0Under
2026-04-20vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs MIA3Over
2026-04-25vs SEA0Under
2026-04-25vs SEA0Under
2026-04-26vs SEA0Under
2026-04-27vs PIT2Over
2026-04-28vs PIT4Over
2026-04-29vs PIT4Over
2026-04-30vs PIT3Over
2026-05-02vs LAD4Over
2026-05-02vs LAD2Over
2026-05-03vs LAD1Under
2026-05-04vs MIL0Under
2026-05-06vs MIL1Under
2026-05-08vs SD4Over
2026-05-09vs SD3Over
2026-05-09vs SD0Under
2026-05-10vs SD1Under
2026-05-13vs ATH1Under
2026-05-14vs ATH4Over
2026-05-14vs ATH0Under
2026-05-16vs KC2Over
2026-05-16vs KC1Under
2026-05-17vs KC1Under
2026-05-19vs PIT5Over
2026-05-20vs PIT1Under
2026-05-21vs PIT3Over
2026-05-22vs CIN2Over
2026-05-23vs CIN2Over
2026-05-25vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs MIL1Under
2026-05-27vs MIL0Under
2026-05-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-30vs CHC2Over
2026-05-31vs CHC1Under
2026-06-01vs TEX1Under
2026-06-02vs TEX3Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alec Burleson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.