EdgeTake

LF · TEX

Alejandro Osuna — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
36
Runs
10
Per Game
0.28
Projection
0.39
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 36 games this season, Alejandro Osuna (TEX) is averaging 0.28 runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.2 over the last 10. 22% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.39 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +205 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -275 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Alejandro Osuna went over in 8 of 36 2026 games.

Our projection 0.39 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/3622%
1.52/366%

Share of 2026 games Osuna finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.28

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.32
Away (17)
0.24
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-24vs PIT1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY1Over
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs NYY0Under
2026-05-07vs NYY1Over
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-10vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ0Under
2026-05-14vs AZ2Over
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-17vs HOU2Over
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA1Over
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU1Over
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-31vs KC1Over
2026-06-01vs STL0Under
2026-06-02vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alejandro Osuna’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.