EdgeTake

3B · CHC

Alex Bregman — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Hits
62
Per Game
1.03
Projection
0.97
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Alex Bregman (CHC) has averaged 1.03 hits per game across 60 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 1.2 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 73% of those games. Our projection of 0.97 sits above the market line of 0.66.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -240 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Alex Bregman went over in 44 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.97 vs market line 0.66 — edge +0.31.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.544/6073%
1.515/6025%
2.53/605%

Share of 2026 games Bregman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.03

Over 0.5 in 9 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.87
Away (30)
1.20
Home edge
-0.33

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH1Over
2026-03-28vs WSH0Under
2026-03-29vs WSH2Over
2026-03-30vs LAA1Over
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA1Over
2026-04-03vs CLE1Over
2026-04-04vs CLE0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB3Over
2026-04-08vs TB0Under
2026-04-10vs PIT1Over
2026-04-11vs PIT2Over
2026-04-12vs PIT1Over
2026-04-13vs PHI1Over
2026-04-14vs PHI3Over
2026-04-15vs PHI1Over
2026-04-17vs NYM1Over
2026-04-18vs NYM0Under
2026-04-19vs NYM1Over
2026-04-20vs PHI2Over
2026-04-21vs PHI1Over
2026-04-22vs PHI3Over
2026-04-23vs PHI1Over
2026-04-25vs LAD2Over
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-26vs LAD0Under
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD2Over
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-01vs AZ1Over
2026-05-02vs AZ0Under
2026-05-03vs AZ0Under
2026-05-04vs CIN1Over
2026-05-05vs CIN1Over
2026-05-06vs CIN1Over
2026-05-07vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-12vs ATL1Over
2026-05-13vs ATL2Over
2026-05-14vs ATL1Over
2026-05-15vs CWS2Over
2026-05-16vs CWS2Over
2026-05-17vs CWS2Over
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL1Over
2026-05-22vs HOU1Over
2026-05-23vs HOU1Over
2026-05-24vs HOU1Over
2026-05-25vs PIT2Over
2026-05-26vs PIT2Over
2026-05-27vs PIT2Over
2026-05-28vs PIT1Over
2026-05-29vs STL1Over
2026-05-30vs STL1Over
2026-05-31vs STL1Over
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Bregman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.