3B · CHC
Alex Bregman — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Alex Bregman (CHC) has averaged 0.08 home runs per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 7% of games. We project 0.12, short of the 1.18 market line.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Alex Bregman went over in 4 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 0.12 vs market line 1.18 — edge -1.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/60 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Bregman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Bregman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.