2B · LAD
Alex Freeland — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Alex Freeland (LAD) sits at 0.68 hits per game through 38 games, tracking close to that at 0.7 over the last 10. 47% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.89, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -145 at BetMGM — model 57% to hit, -3.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Alex Freeland went over in 18 of 38 2026 games.
Our projection 0.89 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.39.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 18/38 | 47% |
| 1.5 | 6/38 | 16% |
| 2.5 | 2/38 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Freeland finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs HOU | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Freeland’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.