EdgeTake

C · MIN

Alex Jackson — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Hits
5
Per Game
1.00
Projection
0.99
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Alex Jackson (MIN) has averaged 1 hits per game across 5 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 60% of games this season. Our projection of 0.99 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 +100 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, +10.4% EV.

Over 0.5 +100 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -123 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Alex Jackson went over in 3 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.99 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.49.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/560%
1.52/540%
2.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
2.00
Away (4)
0.75
Home edge
+1.25

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-22vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS2Over
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT1Over
2026-06-02vs CWS2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Jackson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.