EdgeTake

C · MIN

Alex Jackson — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Runs
1
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.48
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Alex Jackson (MIN) has averaged 0.2 runs per game across 5 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 20% of games this season. Our model projects 0.48, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +230 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -325 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Alex Jackson went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.48 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.02.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/520%
1.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
0.00
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
-0.25

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-22vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT1Over
2026-06-02vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Jackson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.