EdgeTake

C · MIN

Alex Jackson — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Total Bases
6
Per Game
1.20
Projection
1.41
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Alex Jackson (MIN) has averaged 1.2 total bases per game across 5 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1.2. They've gone over 0.5 in 60% of those games. We project 1.41, ahead of the 0.92 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 +105 at Caesars — model 54% to hit, +10.5% EV.

Over 0.5 +105 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Alex Jackson went over in 3 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 1.41 vs market line 0.92 — edge +0.49.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/560%
1.52/540%
2.51/520%
3.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.20

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
2.00
Away (4)
1.00
Home edge
+1.00

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-22vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS3Over
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT1Over
2026-06-02vs CWS2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Jackson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.