EdgeTake

3B · NYY

Amed Rosario — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
31
Hits
24
Per Game
0.77
Projection
0.99
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Amed Rosario (NYY) has averaged 0.77 hits per game across 31 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 58% of games this season. Our model projects 0.99, a step above the market line of 0.68.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +161 at DraftKings — model 37% to hit, -4.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -216 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +161 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Amed Rosario went over in 18 of 31 2026 games.

Our projection 0.99 vs market line 0.68 — edge +0.31.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.518/3158%
1.54/3113%
2.51/313%

Share of 2026 games Rosario finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.77

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
0.71
Away (17)
0.82
Home edge
-0.11

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs SF0Under
2026-03-31vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs SEA1Over
2026-04-07vs ATH2Over
2026-04-08vs ATH1Over
2026-04-09vs ATH0Under
2026-04-10vs TB2Over
2026-04-11vs TB0Under
2026-04-12vs TB1Over
2026-04-13vs LAA1Over
2026-04-14vs LAA1Over
2026-04-16vs LAA0Under
2026-04-17vs KC0Under
2026-04-18vs KC2Over
2026-04-19vs KC1Over
2026-04-21vs BOS0Under
2026-04-22vs BOS1Over
2026-04-23vs BOS1Over
2026-04-25vs HOU1Over
2026-05-01vs BAL1Over
2026-05-07vs TEX1Over
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL1Over
2026-05-12vs BAL1Over
2026-05-16vs NYM1Over
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-18vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs KC4Over
2026-05-27vs KC0Under
2026-06-02vs CLE0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Amed Rosario’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.