EdgeTake

3B · NYY

Amed Rosario — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
31
Total Bases
47
Per Game
1.52
Projection
1.78
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 31 games this season, Amed Rosario (NYY) is averaging 1.52 total bases per game, with the last 10 steady at 1.5. The over on 1.5 has hit in 26% of games. Our model projects 1.78, a step above the market line of 1.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +128 at DraftKings — model 42% to hit, -3.6% EV.

Over 1.5 +128 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -164 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Amed Rosario went over in 8 of 31 2026 games.

Our projection 1.78 vs market line 1.5 — edge +0.28.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.518/3158%
1.58/3126%
2.55/3116%
3.55/3116%

Share of 2026 games Rosario finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.50
Season avg
1.52

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
1.36
Away (17)
1.65
Home edge
-0.29

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs SF0Under
2026-03-31vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs SEA1Under
2026-04-07vs ATH8Over
2026-04-08vs ATH1Under
2026-04-09vs ATH0Under
2026-04-10vs TB4Over
2026-04-11vs TB0Under
2026-04-12vs TB2Over
2026-04-13vs LAA1Under
2026-04-14vs LAA1Under
2026-04-16vs LAA0Under
2026-04-17vs KC0Under
2026-04-18vs KC5Over
2026-04-19vs KC1Under
2026-04-21vs BOS0Under
2026-04-22vs BOS4Over
2026-04-23vs BOS1Under
2026-04-25vs HOU1Under
2026-05-01vs BAL1Under
2026-05-07vs TEX1Under
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL2Over
2026-05-12vs BAL1Under
2026-05-16vs NYM2Over
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-18vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs KC10Over
2026-05-27vs KC0Under
2026-06-02vs CLE0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Amed Rosario’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.