1B · WSH
Andrés Chaparro — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Andrés Chaparro (WSH) sits at 0.33 hits per game through 12 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 25% of games. Our projection of 0.72 lands right around the market line of 0.7.
Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -114 at DraftKings — model 51% to hit, -4.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Andrés Chaparro went over in 3 of 12 2026 games.
Our projection 0.72 vs market line 0.7 — edge +0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/12 | 25% |
| 1.5 | 1/12 | 8% |
| 2.5 | 0/12 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Chaparro finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrés Chaparro’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.