EdgeTake

1B · WSH

Andrés Chaparro — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.1
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 12 games this season, Andrés Chaparro (WSH) is averaging 0 home runs per game, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.1, short of the 1.33 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Andrés Chaparro went over in 0 of 12 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.33 — edge -1.23.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/120%

Share of 2026 games Chaparro finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (8)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CHC0Under
2026-03-28vs CHC0Under
2026-03-29vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs NYM0Under
2026-05-21vs NYM0Under
2026-05-22vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs ATL0Under
2026-05-26vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs SD0Under
2026-05-31vs SD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrés Chaparro’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.