1B · WSH
Andrés Chaparro — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Andrés Chaparro (WSH) sits at 0.25 runs per game through 12 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.2 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 25% of games. Our model projects 0.45, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Andrés Chaparro went over in 3 of 12 2026 games.
Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/12 | 25% |
| 1.5 | 0/12 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Chaparro finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrés Chaparro’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.