EdgeTake

1B · WSH

Andrés Chaparro — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Total Bases
6
Per Game
0.50
Projection
1.28
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 12 games this season, Andrés Chaparro (WSH) is averaging 0.5 total bases per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 25% of games. Our projection of 1.28 sits above the market line of 0.88.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -108 at Caesars — model 55% to hit, +5.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -108 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Andrés Chaparro went over in 3 of 12 2026 games.

Our projection 1.28 vs market line 0.88 — edge +0.4.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/1225%
1.52/1217%
2.51/128%
3.50/120%

Share of 2026 games Chaparro finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.50

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.50
Away (8)
0.50
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CHC3Over
2026-03-28vs CHC0Under
2026-03-29vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs NYM0Under
2026-05-21vs NYM0Under
2026-05-22vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs ATL0Under
2026-05-26vs CLE1Over
2026-05-27vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs SD0Under
2026-05-31vs SD2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrés Chaparro’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.