EdgeTake

DH · TEX

Andrew McCutchen — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.03
Projection
0.09
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Andrew McCutchen (TEX) has averaged 0.03 home runs per game across 37 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 3% of games. We project 0.09, short of the 1.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +625 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Andrew McCutchen went over in 1 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.41.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/373%

Share of 2026 games McCutchen finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.03

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (13)
0.00
Away (24)
0.04
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-28vs PHI0Under
2026-03-29vs PHI1Over
2026-03-30vs BAL0Under
2026-04-01vs BAL0Under
2026-04-03vs CIN0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs NYY0Under
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-17vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrew McCutchen’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.