1B · MIL
Andrew Vaughn — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Andrew Vaughn (MIL) has averaged 0.05 home runs per game across 21 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. They've gone over 2.5 in 0% of those games. Our projection of 0.14 comes in under the market line of 1.38.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Andrew Vaughn went over in 0 of 21 2026 games.
Our projection 0.14 vs market line 1.38 — edge -1.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/21 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Vaughn finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrew Vaughn’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.