1B · MIL
Andrew Vaughn — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 21 games this season, Andrew Vaughn (MIL) is averaging 1.57 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.9. The over on 1.5 has hit in 43% of games. Our model projects 2.16, a step above the market line of 1.73.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -204 at DraftKings — model 58% to hit, -13.3% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Andrew Vaughn went over in 9 of 21 2026 games.
Our projection 2.16 vs market line 1.73 — edge +0.43.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 14/21 | 67% |
| 1.5 | 9/21 | 43% |
| 2.5 | 6/21 | 29% |
| 3.5 | 2/21 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Vaughn finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Andrew Vaughn’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.