EdgeTake

C · AZ

Aramis Garcia — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Hits
2
Per Game
0.40
Projection
0.54
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Aramis Garcia (AZ) has averaged 0.4 hits per game across 5 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 40% of those games. Our model projects 0.54, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -130 at DraftKings — model 56% to hit, -1.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -102 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -130 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Aramis Garcia went over in 2 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.54 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/540%
1.50/50%
2.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
1.00
Away (3)
0.00
Home edge
+1.00

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-23vs CWS1Over
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Aramis Garcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.