EdgeTake

C · AZ

Aramis Garcia — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Aramis Garcia (AZ) sits at 0 home runs per game through 5 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. 0% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.08 comes in under the market line of 0.83.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +850 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Aramis Garcia went over in 0 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.75.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (3)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Aramis Garcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.