C · AZ
Aramis Garcia — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Aramis Garcia (AZ) sits at 0.2 runs per game through 5 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 20% of games this season. Our model projects 0.34, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Aramis Garcia went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.
Our projection 0.34 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/5 | 20% |
| 1.5 | 0/5 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Aramis Garcia’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.