EdgeTake

C · CLE

Austin Hedges — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Hits
18
Per Game
0.69
Projection
0.6
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Austin Hedges (CLE) sits at 0.69 hits per game through 26 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. The over on 0.5 has hit in 54% of games. Our model projects 0.6, below the market line of 0.68.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -118 at DraftKings — model 53% to hit, -1.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -104 BetRiversUnder 0.5 -118 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Austin Hedges went over in 14 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.6 vs market line 0.68 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/2654%
1.53/2612%
2.51/264%

Share of 2026 games Hedges finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.69

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (15)
0.60
Away (11)
0.82
Home edge
-0.22

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-31vs LAD2Over
2026-04-04vs CHC2Over
2026-04-07vs KC1Over
2026-04-08vs KC1Over
2026-04-11vs ATL1Over
2026-04-13vs STL0Under
2026-04-16vs BAL0Under
2026-04-19vs BAL0Under
2026-04-21vs HOU1Over
2026-04-26vs TOR1Over
2026-04-27vs TB1Over
2026-05-02vs ATH3Over
2026-05-03vs ATH0Under
2026-05-06vs KC1Over
2026-05-08vs MIN1Over
2026-05-09vs MIN0Under
2026-05-13vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN0Under
2026-05-16vs CIN0Under
2026-05-18vs DET0Under
2026-05-19vs DET0Under
2026-05-22vs PHI1Over
2026-05-24vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs WSH0Under
2026-05-30vs BOS1Over
2026-05-31vs BOS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Austin Hedges’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.