C · CLE
Austin Hedges — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Austin Hedges (CLE) sits at 0.04 home runs per game through 26 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 4% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.08, short of the 0.93 market line.
Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Austin Hedges went over in 1 of 26 2026 games.
Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.93 — edge -0.85.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/26 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Hedges finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Austin Hedges’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.