EdgeTake

RF · MIN

Austin Martin — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
51
Runs
22
Per Game
0.43
Projection
0.51
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Austin Martin (MIN) sits at 0.43 runs per game through 51 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.6 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 37% of those games. Our projection of 0.51 lands right around the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +180 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -218 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Austin Martin went over in 19 of 51 2026 games.

Our projection 0.51 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/5137%
1.53/516%

Share of 2026 games Martin finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.43

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.54
Away (25)
0.32
Home edge
+0.22

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL0Under
2026-03-29vs BAL0Under
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC0Under
2026-04-02vs KC0Under
2026-04-04vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET1Over
2026-04-07vs DET1Over
2026-04-08vs DET1Over
2026-04-09vs DET0Under
2026-04-10vs TOR1Over
2026-04-11vs TOR1Over
2026-04-13vs BOS2Over
2026-04-15vs BOS1Over
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN2Over
2026-04-19vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs NYM0Under
2026-04-23vs NYM0Under
2026-04-24vs TB0Under
2026-04-25vs TB0Under
2026-04-28vs SEA0Under
2026-04-29vs SEA0Under
2026-04-30vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-03vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs WSH1Over
2026-05-07vs WSH0Under
2026-05-08vs CLE1Over
2026-05-09vs CLE0Under
2026-05-10vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs MIA0Under
2026-05-13vs MIA1Over
2026-05-14vs MIA1Over
2026-05-15vs MIL0Under
2026-05-16vs MIL0Under
2026-05-17vs MIL1Over
2026-05-18vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS1Over
2026-05-23vs BOS1Over
2026-05-24vs BOS1Over
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-29vs PIT1Over
2026-05-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under
2026-06-01vs CWS2Over
2026-06-02vs CWS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Austin Martin’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.