EdgeTake

2B · TB

Ben Williamson — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
42
Runs
19
Per Game
0.45
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ben Williamson (TB) has averaged 0.45 runs per game across 42 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 36% of games this season. Our projection of 0.42 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +200 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -241 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ben Williamson went over in 15 of 42 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/4236%
1.54/4210%

Share of 2026 games Williamson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.45

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.24
Away (21)
0.67
Home edge
-0.43

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL1Over
2026-03-28vs STL1Over
2026-03-29vs STL2Over
2026-03-30vs MIL0Under
2026-03-31vs MIL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIL0Under
2026-04-03vs MIN0Under
2026-04-04vs MIN2Over
2026-04-05vs MIN1Over
2026-04-06vs CHC1Over
2026-04-08vs CHC0Under
2026-04-10vs NYY1Over
2026-04-11vs NYY0Under
2026-04-12vs NYY0Under
2026-04-14vs CWS2Over
2026-04-15vs CWS0Under
2026-04-16vs CWS0Under
2026-04-17vs PIT0Under
2026-04-18vs PIT0Under
2026-04-21vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN1Over
2026-04-24vs MIN0Under
2026-04-25vs MIN1Over
2026-04-26vs MIN0Under
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-04-28vs CLE0Under
2026-05-01vs SF0Under
2026-05-03vs SF0Under
2026-05-04vs TOR1Over
2026-05-05vs TOR0Under
2026-05-06vs TOR0Under
2026-05-07vs BOS2Over
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS1Over
2026-05-12vs TOR1Over
2026-05-13vs TOR1Over
2026-05-15vs MIA0Under
2026-05-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-30vs LAA0Under
2026-05-31vs LAA0Under
2026-06-01vs DET0Under
2026-06-02vs DET0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ben Williamson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.