RF · CIN
Blake Dunn — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 18 games this season, Blake Dunn (CIN) is averaging 0.06 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 6% of games. We project 0.1, short of the 1.27 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Blake Dunn went over in 1 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.27 — edge -1.17.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/18 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Dunn finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blake Dunn’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.