EdgeTake

CF · MIL

Blake Perkins — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Hits
6
Per Game
0.21
Projection
0.42
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Blake Perkins (MIL) sits at 0.21 hits per game through 28 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. 0% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 0.42, short of the 0.83 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -172 at DraftKings — model 47% to hit, -26.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -172 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +129 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Blake Perkins went over in 0 of 28 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.41.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/2821%
1.50/280%
2.50/280%

Share of 2026 games Perkins finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.21

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.13
Away (12)
0.33
Home edge
-0.21

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS0Under
2026-03-29vs CWS1Under
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB0Under
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-05vs KC1Under
2026-04-06vs BOS1Under
2026-04-07vs BOS1Under
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-15vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET0Under
2026-04-23vs DET1Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs AZ0Under
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-05-01vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs NYY0Under
2026-05-10vs NYY1Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-18vs CHC0Under
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL0Under
2026-06-01vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blake Perkins’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.