EdgeTake

CF · MIL

Blake Perkins — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Runs
5
Per Game
0.18
Projection
0.49
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Blake Perkins (MIL) has averaged 0.18 runs per game across 28 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 14% of games. Our projection of 0.49 lands right around the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +148 BetRiversUnder 0.5 -190 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Blake Perkins went over in 4 of 28 2026 games.

Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/2814%
1.51/284%

Share of 2026 games Perkins finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.18

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.06
Away (12)
0.33
Home edge
-0.27

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS0Under
2026-03-29vs CWS1Over
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB0Under
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-05vs KC0Under
2026-04-06vs BOS0Under
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-15vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET2Over
2026-04-23vs DET1Over
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs AZ0Under
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-05-01vs WSH1Over
2026-05-09vs NYY0Under
2026-05-10vs NYY0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-18vs CHC0Under
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL0Under
2026-06-01vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blake Perkins’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.