EdgeTake

3B · BAL

Blaze Alexander — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
43
Stolen Bases
6
Per Game
0.14
Projection
0.05
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Blaze Alexander (BAL) sits at 0.14 stolen bases per game through 43 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. 14% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.05, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +800 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Blaze Alexander went over in 6 of 43 2026 games.

Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.45.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/4314%

Share of 2026 games Alexander finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.14

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (24)
0.08
Away (19)
0.21
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIN0Under
2026-03-29vs MIN0Under
2026-03-30vs TEX0Under
2026-03-31vs TEX0Under
2026-04-03vs PIT0Under
2026-04-04vs PIT1Over
2026-04-05vs PIT0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS1Over
2026-04-08vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs SF0Under
2026-04-13vs AZ0Under
2026-04-14vs AZ0Under
2026-04-15vs AZ1Over
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs KC0Under
2026-04-25vs BOS0Under
2026-04-26vs BOS0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-01vs NYY0Under
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY0Under
2026-05-04vs NYY0Under
2026-05-05vs MIA0Under
2026-05-06vs MIA0Under
2026-05-10vs ATH0Under
2026-05-11vs NYY0Under
2026-05-13vs NYY1Over
2026-05-15vs WSH0Under
2026-05-18vs TB1Over
2026-05-20vs TB0Under
2026-05-22vs DET0Under
2026-05-23vs DET0Under
2026-05-24vs DET0Under
2026-05-25vs TB0Under
2026-05-26vs TB0Under
2026-05-27vs TB0Under
2026-05-28vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-31vs TOR0Under
2026-06-02vs BOS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blaze Alexander’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.