3B · BAL
Blaze Alexander — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Blaze Alexander (BAL) sits at 1.05 total bases per game through 43 games, trending up to 1.7 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 51% of games this season. We project 1.08, ahead of the 0.7 market line.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +108 at Caesars — model 45% to hit, -6.2% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Blaze Alexander went over in 22 of 43 2026 games.
Our projection 1.08 vs market line 0.7 — edge +0.38.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22/43 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 13/43 | 30% |
| 2.5 | 6/43 | 14% |
| 3.5 | 1/43 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Alexander finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 7 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blaze Alexander’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.