2B · PIT
Brandon Lowe — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 55 games this season, Brandon Lowe (PIT) is averaging 0.67 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.7 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 47% of games. Our model projects 0.55, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Brandon Lowe went over in 26 of 55 2026 games.
Our projection 0.55 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 26/55 | 47% |
| 1.5 | 10/55 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Lowe finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Lowe’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.