EdgeTake

LF · PHI

Brandon Marsh — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
55
Hits
64
Per Game
1.16
Projection
1.56
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Brandon Marsh (PHI) has averaged 1.16 hits per game across 55 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1.2. They've gone over 0.5 in 76% of those games. Our projection of 1.56 sits above the market line of 0.55.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -245 at BetRivers — model 73% to hit, +3.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -245 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +190 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Brandon Marsh went over in 42 of 55 2026 games.

Our projection 1.56 vs market line 0.55 — edge +1.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.542/5576%
1.514/5525%
2.56/5511%

Share of 2026 games Marsh finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.16

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
1.27
Away (25)
1.04
Home edge
+0.23

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TEX2Over
2026-03-28vs TEX1Over
2026-03-29vs TEX0Under
2026-03-30vs WSH2Over
2026-03-31vs WSH1Over
2026-04-01vs WSH1Over
2026-04-03vs COL1Over
2026-04-05vs COL1Over
2026-04-05vs COL1Over
2026-04-07vs SF1Over
2026-04-08vs SF0Under
2026-04-10vs AZ1Over
2026-04-11vs AZ0Under
2026-04-12vs AZ2Over
2026-04-13vs CHC3Over
2026-04-14vs CHC1Over
2026-04-15vs CHC0Under
2026-04-18vs ATL0Under
2026-04-19vs ATL0Under
2026-04-20vs CHC1Over
2026-04-21vs CHC2Over
2026-04-23vs CHC3Over
2026-04-24vs ATL1Over
2026-04-25vs ATL2Over
2026-04-26vs ATL0Under
2026-04-28vs SF1Over
2026-04-29vs SF1Over
2026-04-30vs SF1Over
2026-05-01vs MIA1Over
2026-05-03vs MIA2Over
2026-05-04vs MIA1Over
2026-05-05vs ATH3Over
2026-05-06vs ATH3Over
2026-05-07vs ATH1Over
2026-05-08vs COL1Over
2026-05-09vs COL1Over
2026-05-10vs COL4Over
2026-05-12vs BOS1Over
2026-05-13vs BOS0Under
2026-05-14vs BOS1Over
2026-05-15vs PIT1Over
2026-05-16vs PIT1Over
2026-05-17vs PIT1Over
2026-05-18vs CIN0Under
2026-05-19vs CIN0Under
2026-05-20vs CIN2Over
2026-05-22vs CLE1Over
2026-05-23vs CLE0Under
2026-05-24vs CLE1Over
2026-05-25vs SD1Over
2026-05-27vs SD2Over
2026-05-30vs LAD1Over
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-06-02vs SD4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Marsh’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.