EdgeTake

C · COL

Braxton Fulford — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Braxton Fulford (COL) has averaged 0.08 home runs per game across 12 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 8% of games this season. Our model projects 0.08, below the market line of 0.9.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +525 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Braxton Fulford went over in 1 of 12 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.9 — edge -0.82.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/128%

Share of 2026 games Fulford finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (8)
0.13
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA0Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR1Over
2026-05-19vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-26vs LAD0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Braxton Fulford’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.