EdgeTake

SS · CLE

Brayan Rocchio — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Runs
27
Per Game
0.46
Projection
0.36
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Brayan Rocchio (CLE) has averaged 0.46 runs per game across 59 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.4 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 34% of games. Our model projects 0.36, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +250 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -295 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Brayan Rocchio went over in 20 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 0.36 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.520/5934%
1.56/5910%

Share of 2026 games Rocchio finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.46

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.43
Away (29)
0.48
Home edge
-0.05

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs SEA1Over
2026-03-28vs SEA0Under
2026-03-29vs SEA2Over
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAD0Under
2026-04-01vs LAD0Under
2026-04-02vs LAD0Under
2026-04-03vs CHC0Under
2026-04-04vs CHC0Under
2026-04-05vs CHC0Under
2026-04-06vs KC1Over
2026-04-07vs KC0Under
2026-04-08vs KC1Over
2026-04-10vs ATL0Under
2026-04-11vs ATL0Under
2026-04-12vs ATL0Under
2026-04-13vs STL2Over
2026-04-14vs STL0Under
2026-04-15vs STL0Under
2026-04-16vs BAL1Over
2026-04-18vs BAL1Over
2026-04-19vs BAL0Under
2026-04-20vs HOU0Under
2026-04-21vs HOU1Over
2026-04-22vs HOU0Under
2026-04-24vs TOR1Over
2026-04-25vs TOR0Under
2026-04-26vs TOR0Under
2026-04-27vs TB0Under
2026-04-28vs TB0Under
2026-04-29vs TB2Over
2026-05-02vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs ATH1Over
2026-05-03vs ATH0Under
2026-05-04vs KC0Under
2026-05-06vs KC0Under
2026-05-07vs KC1Over
2026-05-08vs MIN0Under
2026-05-09vs MIN0Under
2026-05-10vs MIN2Over
2026-05-11vs LAA0Under
2026-05-12vs LAA0Under
2026-05-13vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN0Under
2026-05-16vs CIN0Under
2026-05-17vs CIN2Over
2026-05-18vs DET3Over
2026-05-19vs DET0Under
2026-05-20vs DET1Over
2026-05-21vs DET1Over
2026-05-22vs PHI0Under
2026-05-24vs PHI0Under
2026-05-25vs WSH0Under
2026-05-26vs WSH1Over
2026-05-27vs WSH0Under
2026-05-29vs BOS0Under
2026-05-30vs BOS0Under
2026-05-31vs BOS1Over
2026-06-02vs NYY1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brayan Rocchio’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.