EdgeTake

3B · SEA

Brendan Donovan — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
25
Runs
9
Per Game
0.36
Projection
0.51
Current Line
Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/2532%
1.51/254%

Share of 2026 games Donovan finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.36

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.42
Away (13)
0.31
Home edge
+0.11

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRuns
2026-03-27vs CLE1
2026-03-28vs CLE0
2026-03-29vs CLE1
2026-03-29vs CLE2
2026-03-31vs NYY0
2026-04-01vs NYY0
2026-04-01vs NYY0
2026-04-04vs LAA0
2026-04-07vs TEX0
2026-04-08vs TEX1
2026-04-08vs TEX0
2026-04-12vs HOU0
2026-04-12vs HOU1
2026-04-13vs HOU0
2026-04-15vs SD0
2026-04-16vs SD0
2026-04-17vs SD1
2026-04-18vs TEX0
2026-05-08vs CWS1
2026-05-10vs CWS0
2026-05-12vs HOU0
2026-05-13vs HOU0
2026-05-14vs HOU0
2026-05-14vs HOU1
2026-05-16vs SD0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brendan Donovan’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.