EdgeTake

3B · NYM

Brett Baty — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Brett Baty (NYM) sits at 0.05 home runs per game through 57 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 5% of games. We project 0.11, short of the 1.33 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +625 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Brett Baty went over in 3 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.33 — edge -1.22.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/575%

Share of 2026 games Baty finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.05

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.07
Away (28)
0.04
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PIT0Under
2026-03-28vs PIT0Under
2026-03-29vs PIT0Under
2026-03-30vs STL0Under
2026-03-31vs STL0Under
2026-04-01vs STL0Under
2026-04-04vs SF0Under
2026-04-05vs SF0Under
2026-04-07vs AZ0Under
2026-04-08vs AZ0Under
2026-04-09vs AZ0Under
2026-04-10vs ATH0Under
2026-04-11vs ATH0Under
2026-04-12vs ATH0Under
2026-04-15vs LAD0Under
2026-04-16vs LAD0Under
2026-04-17vs CHC0Under
2026-04-18vs CHC0Under
2026-04-19vs CHC0Under
2026-04-21vs MIN0Under
2026-04-22vs MIN0Under
2026-04-23vs MIN1Over
2026-04-24vs COL0Under
2026-04-25vs COL0Under
2026-04-26vs COL0Under
2026-04-28vs WSH0Under
2026-04-29vs WSH0Under
2026-04-30vs WSH0Under
2026-05-02vs LAA0Under
2026-05-03vs LAA0Under
2026-05-03vs LAA0Under
2026-05-04vs COL0Under
2026-05-06vs COL0Under
2026-05-07vs COL0Under
2026-05-09vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs AZ0Under
2026-05-10vs AZ0Under
2026-05-12vs DET0Under
2026-05-13vs DET0Under
2026-05-14vs DET1Over
2026-05-15vs NYY0Under
2026-05-16vs NYY0Under
2026-05-17vs NYY0Under
2026-05-18vs WSH1Over
2026-05-19vs WSH0Under
2026-05-20vs WSH0Under
2026-05-21vs WSH0Under
2026-05-22vs MIA0Under
2026-05-23vs MIA0Under
2026-05-24vs MIA0Under
2026-05-25vs CIN0Under
2026-05-26vs CIN0Under
2026-05-27vs CIN0Under
2026-05-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-31vs MIA0Under
2026-06-02vs SEA0Under
2026-06-03vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brett Baty’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.