EdgeTake

C · COL

Brett Sullivan — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
27
Runs
4
Per Game
0.15
Projection
0.32
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Brett Sullivan (COL) sits at 0.15 runs per game through 27 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 15% of games this season. Our model projects 0.32, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +140 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -167 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Brett Sullivan went over in 4 of 27 2026 games.

Our projection 0.32 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.18.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/2715%
1.50/270%

Share of 2026 games Sullivan finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.15

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.00
Away (15)
0.27
Home edge
-0.27

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs TOR0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs LAD0Under
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs NYM1Over
2026-04-29vs CIN1Over
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM0Under
2026-05-08vs PHI0Under
2026-05-09vs PHI0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT1Over
2026-05-17vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD1Over
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brett Sullivan’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.