EdgeTake

CF · HOU

Brice Matthews — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Hits
30
Per Game
0.63
Projection
0.65
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Brice Matthews (HOU) has averaged 0.63 hits per game across 48 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.6. They've gone over 0.5 in 46% of those games. Our projection of 0.65 sits above the market line of 0.54.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 +105 at BetMGM — model 47% to hit, -3.1% EV.

Over 0.5 +105 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -125 Fanatics

At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Brice Matthews went over in 22 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.65 vs market line 0.54 — edge +0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/4846%
1.57/4815%
2.51/482%

Share of 2026 games Matthews finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.63

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.41
Away (26)
0.81
Home edge
-0.40

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAA1Over
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs BOS1Over
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-05vs ATH0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL1Over
2026-04-15vs COL0Under
2026-04-16vs COL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-20vs CLE1Over
2026-04-21vs CLE2Over
2026-04-22vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-26vs NYY0Under
2026-04-28vs BAL3Over
2026-04-29vs BAL1Over
2026-04-30vs BAL2Over
2026-05-01vs BOS1Over
2026-05-02vs BOS2Over
2026-05-03vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD1Over
2026-05-08vs CIN2Over
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-13vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA2Over
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX2Over
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX1Over
2026-05-18vs MIN1Over
2026-05-20vs MIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CHC1Over
2026-05-23vs CHC1Over
2026-05-24vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX1Over
2026-05-27vs TEX1Over
2026-05-28vs TEX1Over
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brice Matthews’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.