CF · HOU
Brice Matthews — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 48 games this season, Brice Matthews (HOU) is averaging 0.08 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 8% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.11, short of the 1.21 market line.
Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Brice Matthews went over in 4 of 48 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.21 — edge -1.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/48 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Matthews finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brice Matthews’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.