1B · PHI
Bryce Harper — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Bryce Harper (PHI) has averaged 0.93 hits per game across 59 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.7. The over on 0.5 has hit in 61% of games. Our model projects 1.09, a step above the market line of 0.62.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -235 at BetMGM — model 66% to hit, -5.7% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Bryce Harper went over in 36 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 1.09 vs market line 0.62 — edge +0.47.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 36/59 | 61% |
| 1.5 | 12/59 | 20% |
| 2.5 | 6/59 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Harper finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs ATL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Bryce Harper’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.