1B · PHI
Bryce Harper — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Bryce Harper (PHI) sits at 0.24 home runs per game through 59 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. 0% of those games have finished over 2.5. Our model projects 0.25, below the market line of 0.96.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Bryce Harper went over in 0 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.25 vs market line 0.96 — edge -0.71.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/59 | 22% |
Share of 2026 games Harper finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATH | 2 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Bryce Harper’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.