1B · PHI
Bryce Harper — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 59 games this season, Bryce Harper (PHI) is averaging 0.61 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.7. They've gone over 0.5 in 47% of those games. We project 0.7, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Bryce Harper went over in 28 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.7 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.2.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 28/59 | 47% |
| 1.5 | 7/59 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Harper finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Bryce Harper’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.