EdgeTake

1B · PHI

Bryce Harper — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Total Bases
109
Per Game
1.85
Projection
2.15
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 59 games this season, Bryce Harper (PHI) is averaging 1.85 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 1.4. They've gone over 1.5 in 42% of those games. We project 2.15, ahead of the 1.54 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +116 at BetRivers — model 47% to hit, +0.4% EV.

Over 1.5 +116 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -150 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Bryce Harper went over in 25 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 2.15 vs market line 1.54 — edge +0.61.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.536/5961%
1.525/5942%
2.520/5934%
3.516/5927%

Share of 2026 games Harper finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
1.85

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
1.83
Away (29)
1.86
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs TEX0Under
2026-03-28vs TEX1Under
2026-03-29vs TEX0Under
2026-03-30vs WSH0Under
2026-03-31vs WSH1Under
2026-04-01vs WSH4Over
2026-04-03vs COL6Over
2026-04-05vs COL0Under
2026-04-05vs COL0Under
2026-04-07vs SF5Over
2026-04-08vs SF1Under
2026-04-08vs SF1Under
2026-04-10vs AZ3Over
2026-04-11vs AZ4Over
2026-04-12vs AZ3Over
2026-04-13vs CHC1Under
2026-04-14vs CHC0Under
2026-04-15vs CHC4Over
2026-04-17vs ATL5Over
2026-04-18vs ATL0Under
2026-04-19vs ATL1Under
2026-04-20vs CHC1Under
2026-04-21vs CHC4Over
2026-04-22vs CHC0Under
2026-04-23vs CHC1Under
2026-04-24vs ATL4Over
2026-04-25vs ATL2Over
2026-04-26vs ATL0Under
2026-04-28vs SF3Over
2026-04-29vs SF0Under
2026-04-30vs SF1Under
2026-05-01vs MIA2Over
2026-05-02vs MIA0Under
2026-05-03vs MIA2Over
2026-05-04vs MIA7Over
2026-05-05vs ATH9Over
2026-05-06vs ATH0Under
2026-05-07vs ATH0Under
2026-05-08vs COL2Over
2026-05-10vs COL4Over
2026-05-12vs BOS0Under
2026-05-13vs BOS0Under
2026-05-14vs BOS1Under
2026-05-15vs PIT4Over
2026-05-16vs PIT4Over
2026-05-17vs PIT4Over
2026-05-18vs CIN0Under
2026-05-19vs CIN0Under
2026-05-20vs CIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CLE2Over
2026-05-23vs CLE3Over
2026-05-24vs CLE0Under
2026-05-25vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SD4Over
2026-05-27vs SD0Under
2026-05-30vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD1Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-06-02vs SD4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Bryce Harper’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.